When very defendants are kepted from inside the prison, it address a COMPAS questionnaire

We examined more than 10,one hundred thousand unlawful defendants when you look at the Broward County, Florida, and you will opposed the predict recidivism cost to the rates that really taken place over a two-seasons period. The answers are given into COMPAS software generate numerous ratings and forecasts out of “Danger of Recidivism” and you can “Risk of Violent Recidivism.”

I opposed the new recidivism chance kinds forecast of the COMPAS product towards genuine recidivism costs out-of defendants regarding the couple of years after they was basically scored, and discovered your rating precisely predict an enthusiastic offender’s recidivism 61 percent of time, however, was just right in its predictions from unlawful recidivism 20 per cent of time.

Lowenkamp in the Management Workplace of You

From inside the anticipating who would lso are-upset, the latest formula precisely forecast recidivism getting monochrome defendants within more or less a similar price (59 per cent to own light defendants, and you may 63 % getting black colored defendants) but generated problems for the totally different ways. Continue Reading